Tuesday, October 17, 2006

Winter Heating Costs May Ease On Drop in Natural-Gas Prices

By Stephanie I. Cohen

From The Wall Street Journal Online

The recent drop seen in natural gas prices is likely to help soften consumer heating bills this winter, the American Gas Association said at a briefing.

The group said consumers may see a drop of as much as 10% compared with last year's bills, but officials also warned that consumers heating with natural gas shouldn't expect a sharp decrease in their utility bills.

Consumers have faced a steady increase in winter heating costs in the past five years. The Energy Department is slated to release its annual outlook for residential winter heating bills today.

The impact of natural-gas prices is felt by a large portion of U.S. residents -- roughly 68 million American homes, or 52% of U.S. households, heat with natural gas.

Although wholesale natural-gas prices began to drop in September, the price of natural gas throughout the year, not just during the winter months, determines consumer bills, American Gas Association officials said. Utilities typically begin purchasing and stockpiling a significant portion of the natural gas they use to meet customer demand six to 18 months prior to the heating season, according to the group.

"Bills will be lower if the weather is the same as last year but weather is never the same," said Paul Wilkinson, vice president for policy analysis at the American Gas Association. "We've been on a price roller coaster for six years now," he said.

But officials for the group feel confident consumers won't see the sharp price increases of recent years thanks to natural-gas spot market prices in the first nine months of 2006 and the fact that natural gas in storage is at a record high.

During the first three months of this year spot prices were significantly higher than for the year-earlier period. But from April to June prices were about the same as the prior year and for the most recent three months prices have been significantly lower than the year-ago period, the group said.

While customers are also likely to benefit from the lack of hurricanes in the oil-producing regions of the U.S. this year, a cold snap during the winter that leads to higher demand is still the primary driver in determining winter heating bills during the heating season.

"This year, the industry has repaired much of the damage to its infrastructure and wholesale prices are lower, but the weather is a wild card," the American Gas Association said.

Natural-gas utilities don't make a penny more in profit if the price of natural gas rises but they can typically pass the increase in fuel prices along to consumers.











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As Housing Market Slows, Rental Market Heats Up

By Christine Haughney

From The Wall Street Journal Online

Bidding wars, once waged by prospective home buyers in a red-hot housing market, may be moving to a new front: rental apartments.

As rising interest rates and flattening home values have made renting more attractive, renters are beginning to resort to the same one-upmanship tactics to secure a choice apartment.

In Washington, D.C., the owner of the Ellington, a 190-unit rental building on U Street, has a 12-person waiting list, and nearly a half dozen renters are paying rent two to three months before their move-in dates. San Francisco renters are showing up early to open houses and racing to fill out applications before other applicants. In Manhattan, some renters are offering landlords more money than asking rents, while others are paying the equivalent of the entire year's rent upfront in cash.

In August, Adrian and Amanda Liang agreed to pay $5,300 a month for a two-bedroom apartment on Manhattan's Upper West Side -- $100 more than the asking rent and $1,000 more than they intended to spend. "I just wanted to get this done as soon as possible," says 31-year-old Mr. Liang, who moved to New York from San Francisco with his wife after selling his software-services company. "I was sick of looking at places." The couple had spent a month looking at nearly two dozen Manhattan apartments and had lost two apartments to other tenants because when they showed up at open houses, the landlords said they already had plenty of qualified applicants.

Justin Lindblad, a broker with New York-based Citi Habitats Inc. who represented the Liangs, says another client secured a $2,300-a-month, two-bedroom apartment on the Upper West Side only after offering to pay $13,800 in rent upfront and a $13,800 security deposit. "You're not in a situation anymore when you can wait around a week and think about an apartment," says Mr. Lindblad. "You take it on the spot on that day, or you move on."

Rental landlords, who used to fret as prime would-be tenants jumped into the housing market instead, suddenly are in the driver's seat. Nationally, rent for a 1,000-square-foot apartment has jumped 3.7% to $1,389 a month from $1,339 a year ago, according to data collected by Boston-based research firm Property & Portfolio Research Inc. Rent increases haven't been this high since the fall of 2001, when rents jumped by 4.1%.

A big reason for the rising rents -- and the emerging bidding wars -- is a smaller stock of apartments, caused partly by developers who built condominiums instead or converted existing apartments into condos to take advantage of the once-hot housing market. Rental vacancy rates dropped to 5.3% in the second quarter of 2006 from 6.2% in the second quarter of 2005. The vacancy rate could shrink to 5% by year end, according to Encino, Calif.-based real-estate investment brokerage Marcus & Millichap.

In Manhattan's pricey Tribeca neighborhood, where Citi Habitats says vacancies are a miniscule 0.55%, finding an apartment has been much tougher than Kerry Stichweh anticipated. After looking at 10 different apartments to buy in downtown Manhattan, Ms. Stichweh, a 34-year-old choreographer and interior designer, and her boyfriend, a 50-year-old hedge-fund executive, abandoned their purchasing plans for the more affordable rental market.

But after touring nearly three dozen apartments, they couldn't find anything they liked within their $5,000 monthly rent budget. So next month, they are moving into a fifth-floor, two-bedroom Tribeca apartment that rents for $6,500 a month and initially won't have a working elevator. Still, the couple figures that is a better deal than buying a similar unit -- which would cost more than $1.5 million with monthly payments of about $10,500 including taxes and maintenance fees, according to their broker, Craig Filipacchi of Brown Harris Stevens.

The boom in demand for rental apartments follows several brutal years for landlords. From 2002 to 2005, 438,000 renters from age 20 to 34 nationwide took advantage of low interest rates and became first-time homeowners, says Hessam Nadji, managing director of Marcus & Millichap's research services. Landlords offered free rent for a time and paid brokers to find them tenants.

To be sure, the good times for rental landlords may not last. With the rapidly cooling home-buying market, many condo developers are expected to switch units back to apartments. "The rents aren't going to continue growing like they have," says Manhattan developer Douglas Durst, whose second residential apartment building, which has 600 units, has filled up in the past 18 months. While rents have risen roughly 10% from the year before, he is cautious about developing more rental projects.

But for now, it is a landlord's market. In the second quarter, AvalonBay Communities Inc., of Alexandria, Va., which owns 45,000 apartments nationally and is concentrated in the Northeast, raised its asking rents by 4.7% from the year before and cut concessions by 67% for incentives such as free rent for a month or more and gifts including vacations, microwaves and televisions.

San Francisco renters are increasingly anxious, says Abigail Glynn, a broker with San Francisco-based firm Davis Realty Co. "A lot of them run into the apartment and come running out to hand you the [rental application] papers," she says.

Rob Hielscher, a 31-year-old commercial-real-estate broker, recently moved back to San Francisco from Chicago with his girlfriend, Lisa Lombardi, a 29-year-old occupational therapist. After two trips to the Bay Area and visits to 12 apartments, they moved into a two-bedroom apartment with a private backyard in the Potrero Hill area. To Mr. Hielscher, the $2,300 monthly rent was a better deal than buying a similar unit -- which would cost nearly $900,000, or about $3,800 a month after a mortgage payment, tax savings and homeowners' fees, according to Potrero Hill real-estate broker Greg Angilly.

"I don't plan to be a renter for the rest of my life," Mr. Hielscher says. But "even if the house appreciated, I wouldn't have the money to go to [Lake] Tahoe or take trips because I would be putting all of my money into a mortgage."









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Tricks of the Trade: How to Spot Leaky Plumbing Early to Save Cash

By Sarah Tilton

From The Wall Street Journal Online

A small water leak is like a snowball rolling down a hill, says Ed Del Grande, a plumber with more than 25 years of experience. The longer you leave it alone, the more it will drip and eventually it will become an emergency.

He says his city water meter can help reveal hidden leaks. The meter has a visible wheel that moves and measures every drop that goes through the system. So Mr. Del Grande turns off everything in his house that uses water and then checks if the wheel is moving. Ideally, the wheel stops. If it's still moving, there's a leak. The most common culprits: toilets.

To keep his drains in shape, he plunges them every few months, more often if they become slow. For washing machines, he recommends upgrading rubber hoses to ones wrapped in stainless steel. He always turns off the water to the washing machine when he goes on vacation as the water damage from a burst hose could be major.










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Urban Growth Supplants California's Orange Groves

By Maura Webber Sadovi

From The Wall Street Journal Online

A cooling economy and rising commercial vacancy rates in Southern California's Inland Empire haven't slowed a torrent of new stores, offices and supersize distribution warehouses.

The two-county area extends east from Los Angeles to the Arizona and Nevada borders and includes a mix of suburban tracts, dwindling agricultural land and expansive desert as well as the longtime resort destination of Palm Springs and such fast-growing cities as Riverside and Ontario.

The region traces its nickname to the 19th century, when it was known as the "Orange Empire" because of its citrus crop. In the past 20 years it has become a wunderkind of the warehouse-distribution sector, and more recently, a haven for residents priced out of coastal Southern California. That pushed up the population to 3.9 million last year and made it more populous than about two dozen states. "We are today's Orange County," says John Husing, an economist with consulting firm Economics & Politics Inc., based in Redlands, Calif.

During the past year, both population and economic growth have downshifted, albeit from white-hot levels to still enviable above-average rates. Total net migration dropped to 91,400 last year from a peak of 109,700 in 2003. New residents still were arriving at about three times the national rate in the 12 months ended June 30, according to Moody's Economy.com. Year-to-year job growth for the region in August fell to 3%, from a 5% pace in the year-earlier period, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

At the same time, new construction is expected to nudge up vacancy rates in the warehouse, office and retail sectors, though rental rates are also forecast to rise, according to Property & Portfolio Research Inc., a Boston-based real-estate research firm. The shift is subtle but notable in the robust warehouse sector, where vacancy rates ticked up slightly to 5% in the second quarter from 4.7% in the first quarter -- the first quarterly upward movement since early 2003, PPR says.

Developers -- led by the warehouse sector, including some of the country's largest distribution centers -- appear undaunted. The Inland Empire was the biggest warehouse builder in the nation of 54 major markets surveyed by PPR for the 12 months ended in June, during which some 15.4 million square feet were completed. The average annual pace of supply growth will slow through 2010, but PPR says the market will remain the nation's lead warehouse builder over the period, followed by Chicago and Dallas-Fort Worth. Other sectors are also ramping up. About 4.7 million square feet of retail space is scheduled to be completed this year, up 13% from last year, plus 2.5 million square feet of office space, up 18% from 2005.

Market watchers say the warehouse sector will remain strong, thanks to the region's proximity to the flood of Asian imports coming into the ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, and to its relatively cheap rents -- at least compared with coastal prices.

Denver-based ProLogis, which owns more than 26 million square feet of industrial distribution space built or under development in the region, is continuing to expand. This summer, ProLogis purchased a 700,000-square-foot industrial building in Redlands for an undisclosed price, and recently signed leases with clients that will fully occupy a 1.2 million-square-foot speculative distribution warehouse it completed last year in nearby Rialto. "The Inland Empire is at a high point in the cycle," says Larry H. Harmsen, managing director of North American capital deployment for ProLogis. "I think it's a broad peak that will last some time because of the fundamentally strong demand."

Office developers, who have enjoyed strong demand for space from mortgage companies and home builders, could be more vulnerable to a housing slowdown. More than half of the 120,000 jobs created in the area between the first quarter of 2002 and the first quarter of 2005 were tied to the housing market, PPR says.

Chris Atkinson, vice president of Bates Co., a real-estate company in Monrovia, Calif., says the profile of tenants he expects to fill his planned 10-story speculative office building in Ontario by the time it's completed in about two years could shift to include more accountants and law firms and fewer real-estate companies. However, he says new office construction is the natural follow to the industrial and retail expansion the region has seen to date. "Everyone's skeptically optimistic," he says.











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Tuesday, September 26, 2006

Where Boomers Are Buying And What They Want in a Home

By Amy Hoak

From MarketWatch

http://www.realestatejournal.com/

The country's more than 77 million baby boomers represent more than a quarter of the U.S. population and have a substantial build up of spending power. As more of them move toward retirement age, businesses are paying attention to what this generation's real estate needs are.

And if they learn anything about the boomer consumers, it's to not classify them as over the hill.

"Don't call them aging, don't call them seniors and certainly don't offer them early-bird specials," said Neale Redington, national director of hospitality practice at Deloitte & Touche LLP. They don't like it, he said. For good reason.

After all, this is a generation that expects to work past the traditional retirement age, said Paul D. Prescott, the national director for Deloitte Tax LLP's home-building sector. It's also a generation with active, healthy lifestyles that are in turn helping them live longer.

Deloitte's recent conference call, "The Aging Population: The Impact on the U.S. Real Estate Market," aimed to give some perspective on what this generation wants from its homes, communities and vacation spots.

Residential

On the residential side, people aren't waiting until retirement to acquire a second -- or even a third -- home, Prescott said. Sometimes the additional home will be located in a favorite vacation spot; oftentimes the intent is to retire there eventually, he said. Many baby boomers want these second homes to be located near a body of water or close to recreational activities.

While retirees tend to gravitate toward places that complement their active lifestyles or provide them a lower cost of living, they're also getting more comfortable with the idea of owning real estate in other countries, Prescott said. Mexico offers retirees warm weather, lower property taxes and more affordable health care, while areas including Panama and Costa Rica offer tax breaks to foreigners seeking to retire there, he added.

On the other hand, many boomers expect to "age in place," given their active lifestyles and plans to work past the traditional retirement age, he said.

What they want from their homes and communities is the flexibility to accommodate a range of physical abilities and medical needs -- along with other amenities including accessibility to services and wired houses that have convenient access to the Internet, Prescott said.

"As a group, the boomers have unprecedented wealth and this wealth gives them choices that earlier generations may not have had," he said.

Although this generation doesn't view itself as being old, the boomers also could create more demand for assisted living down the line. "Even though you think you aren't old, your body is going to have a need for those kinds of facilities," Prescott said.

Retail/hospitality

Teens may frequent their local shopping mall more, but older customers are bigger spenders -- and retail centers have been moving to cater to boomers as a result, said James E. Maurin, chairman of Stirling Properties and a past chairman of the International Council of Shopping Centers.

For one, safety concerns that mature customers have about going to the mall are being addressed in some locations, Maurin said. For example, "malls are starting to clamp down on unruly teenagers," he said, adding that some shopping centers have escort policies for younger customers.

Mall owners also are taking steps to make their buildings easier to navigate, sometimes even offering valet parking services to shoppers, he said. More sit-down restaurants, day spas, even doctors and dentists are being incorporated in malls for convenience.

When it comes to travel, boomers want "adventure without great risk," Redington said. This could mean dog sledding in Alaska with warm accommodations and hot meals or room service in Machu Picchu, he said. "Pre-arrival" Internet research on a hotel's services also is becoming a staple, allowing customers to their homework before they check in.

Good spenders, bad savers

Despite the spending power that boomers have, it's also important to note that they haven't traditionally been the best savers, said James P. Gaines, of the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University. Gaines wasn't involved with the conference call, but has been studying baby boomers and their housing needs.

"I don't think the boomers are going to retire the same way our parents did," he said. "They're terrific spenders but no great savers."

He also anticipates baby boomers seeking quality over quantity in new homes, more interested in granite counters and Internet wiring than the amount of space they have.

But acknowledging that boomers have much of their wealth concentrated in their home equity, he also thinks that retirees looking to relocate will look for places with lower costs of living, lower taxes and where home appreciation rates have been modest.

"Some of the states that are going to experience some growth (in retirees) are not the ones that have had a run-up in home prices," he said.

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Consumers' "No cost" mortgage benefits purchase or refinance

Asbury Park Press 09/24/06

The "No Cost" mortgage program benefits all homeowners today, not just first-time buyers or those with low down payments, according to Douglas C. Reilly, the president of Consumers Mortgage Corp. of Middletown.

The program is considered best for the buyer with little down payment available because almost all closing fees are paid by the lender. However, the program is also advantageous to buyers with 20 percent down and more.

"All buyers benefit not only by an added tax benefit (by eliminating non-tax deductable closing costs), but also should the rates drop after the initial closing even by 1/4 to 1/2 of 1 percent, the homeowners may refinance into a new "No Cost' mortgage, and not have thrown away all the fees from closing of the purchase," Reilly said.

In today's real estate market, the amount of cash required to purchase a home is the primary problem, according to the Federal National Mortgage Association. However, with the availability of the "No Cost" mortgage program, the necessary amount of cash required to effect a home purchase has been decreased.

The "No Cost" mortgage program covers closing costs including: appraisal, credit report, title search, title insurance up to the mortgage amount, recording fees, attorney review fee, flood certification, wire fees, courier and tax service fees, $300 toward a survey, and $500 toward buyers' attorney fee.

The additional funds made available by use of this program can frequently make the difference in enabling borrowers to accumulate a sufficient down payment for the purchase of a home. In addition, the extra funds may be used for several other purposes such as "buying down" the interest rate for a lower monthly payment, or to help borrowers qualify for a larger loan amount. For example, if borrowers have $32,500 available for a down payment plus closing costs of $3,500 and are putting 10 percent down, they can purchase a $325,000 home. If they can save $2,500 in closing costs, they could then have a 10 percent down payment of $35,000 which enables them to purchase a $350,000 home, (assuming of course their income will support the higher mortgage amount). Thus the $2,500 increase in down payment actually increases their purchasing power by $25,000.

The additional funds may also be used toward a larger down payment, and in some cases, this additional down payment may eliminate the need for Private Mortgage Insurance or reduce the PMI premium which is required on loans with less than 20 percent down and is more expensive for loans with less than 10 percent down. Eliminating the additional cost of PMI reduces the monthly payment, increases funds available for a down payment, and helps the borrower qualify for a larger loan amount.

In addition to the obvious benefits in increasing buyers' purchasing power, there are added tax benefits to be gained for purchasers as well. In packaging closing costs, which are normally not eligible as an immediate tax write-off, into a tax write-off, buyers have reduced the real after-tax cost of home ownership.

Other options are available today for "low asset" buyers to help increase purchasing power such as 100 percent mortgages, loans that do not require any cash reserves and higher qualifying ratio loans, and loans that avoid the additional cost of PMI with 10 percent down — usually an additional cost when a buyer puts less than 20 percent down.

Combining these programs with Consumers Mortgage Corp.'s "No Cost" program significantly increases the borrowers' purchasing power and enables some borrowers who could not otherwise purchase to have the opportunity to own their own homes.

The "No Cost" mortgage is available for refinances as well as purchases. Refinancing of a mortgage with all closing costs eliminated makes it advantageous to refinance even if the new interest rate is only 1/4 to 1/2 percent lower than the homeowners' current mortgage interest rate. Also at a time when the adjustable rate mortgages are increasing, it is the right time to lock into a fixed rate with the "No Cost" mortgage. All closing fees are covered in the "No Cost" refinance program.

For more information, call (732) 671-0001.

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Monday, September 25, 2006

The Price Is Right: Finding Home Financing to Suit Every Budget

By: Rivka Yablonsky

It's only natural that the homebuying process comes with many anxieties. For many people, one of the biggest is wondering how to afford a home at all. But this is often due to misconceptions which keep the customer from methods that could make it possible but may be less well-known. With the right information, you can set aside much of your concern about affording a down payment and financing a new home. The knowledgeable customer and the right Realtor® can shift the focus from saving money to saving much worry.

The 2002 Fannie Mae National Housing Survey revealed widespread assumptions holding back potential homeowners needlessly. One of the biggest is that buyers need 20 percent of the purchase price ready as a down payment to purchase a home. But today several specialized mortgage programs require little or no down payment.

A Veteran's Administration (VA) Loan lets eligible military personnel finance up to 100 percent of a home, even if their credit is imperfect. An FHA Loan requires less than three percent as a down payment. There are also Community Lending Programs that let homebuyers who meet local HUD median-income guidelines pay $500 or one percent of the purchase price, whichever is less.

In addition, mortgage products are available specifically for the self-employed and for those with bad credit scores (including, in the latter case, CreditWorks, a mortgage program that comes with debt-management counseling). Another advantage to keep in mind is not just the discounts you can gain going into a home purchase, but the ones you can obtain from making the purchase itself – over a third of those who answered the Fannie Mae survey didn't know that mortgage interest is tax-deductible, but it's a benefit that can substantially relieve your financial concerns.

The survey also found many people believing that housing lenders are legally required to give the best possible loan rates; actually, many factors influence a range of rates offered by various lenders, so there's no substitute for shopping around and doing your homework.

Of course, there is more than one way to make sure it gets done. Qualified professionals can lead you through the maze of options to the most efficient and economical solution for you. The professionals at ERA Mortgage can help you determine your financial abilities and meet your financing needs. ERA Mortgage offers over 100 products, including loans designed especially for first-time homebuyers or even clients who have recently had a bankruptcy. This range covers the array of programs mentioned above, and some other helpful options that are unique to ERA Mortgage.

Whichever way you proceed toward your homeownership dreams, it's good to know they can become reality sooner than you think, and important to get the best guidance you can on how. If you believed you couldn't afford to buy, information like the facts above are something you can't afford not to have.

Author: Rivka Yablonsky is the owner of ERA Othello Realty and a licensed real estate broker/agent.

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Rooms for Improvement: The Joys and Challenges of Fixer-Uppers

By: Rivka Yablonsky

The house that needs work – it's not for everyone. But then, the secret of real estate success, for both a professional like me and a potential customer like yourself, is finding the one home that's right for you. And a fixer-upper even offers the opportunity to have your dream house not be found, but made.

It's important to keep in mind the balance of challenges and chances that a fixer-upper presents. For buyers with cost as a concern, a house needing work will definitely be more affordable – though the discount can stem from some major problems, and the price savings go hand-in-hand with later renovation expenses.

Even so, at the initial bargain price some families find a fixer-upper comfortable enough to live in while saving for renovation. This kind of at-home pioneering makes fixer-uppers not the best idea for first-timers. However, experienced homeowners have an edge, being more familiar with renovations in previous houses and knowing what to expect in both inconvenience and rewards.

In any case, the standard rules for all home purchases apply to fixer-uppers – and often more so. Getting a thorough home inspection, for instance, is crucial, to learn all you need to about homes whose history and condition can be unknown (or in some cases undisclosed). But once again remember that turning up problems can also identify economic breaks; since the purchase price for an "as is" home will be lower, so will related costs such as transfer taxes, and property taxes might be too.

If the fixer-upper is just your kind of challenge, then you have the chance to shape your space to just your type of taste – and that of potential future residents. The fix-up can enhance the possibility of appreciating the home's resale value. As with any home, you'll want to think carefully about which improvements will make up their cost, but with a fixer-upper the benefits can be reaped not just from the house but its location – older neighborhoods can be preferred by many buyers to newer housing developments, so getting a like-new home you prepared in a more old-fashioned area can be a strong attraction.

One resource you may want in your fix-up tool kit is the services of a qualified real estate professional. Not only can we advise you on financing options (like the extensive alternatives available through ERA Mortgage), but we also often have fixer-uppers we'd love to find the right buyer for, and can call you about as soon as they're available. If you're ready for the challenges and rewards, your neighborhood agent may be ready to "fix you up" with your future dream house.

Author: Rivka Yablonsky is the owner of ERA Othello Realty and a licensed real estate broker/agent.



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If you need assistance selling your house ERA Othello Realty can share their expertise and experience with you in a friendly and professional manner. From all aspects of selling your house: from getting a qualified CMA (Comparative Market Analysis) to advising you on the presentation of your house, marketing your home online and in print, conducting an open house, showing your house within your guidelines and discretion, constant communication, negotiating the best price for your home and being with you until closing and beyond. We can also assist you in your search for a new home. Please call us at 732-364-2015. We are the realtors NJ! Look at these Listings of Homes for Sale in NJ.

Doubling Your Investment: Do Income-Generating Properties Pay?

By: Rivka Yablonsky

Buying or selling a house is one of the biggest decisions most people will ever make with their finances and their lifestyle. Getting the best bargain in the purchase or making the most profit on the sale give buyers and sellers so much to think about that many may never stop to consider keeping that old house – or buying another – as an income-generating property. But the rewards, in savings, profits and problem-solving, can be high.

One option for buyers who otherwise might consider home prices beyond their reach is the property that pays for itself: a house you live in part of and rent the rest of. This offers not only an obvious balance of cost and income, but perhaps lesser-known benefits in taxes and mortgage. The rental units can be depreciated over time; considered to offset the rental income, this can lower your taxes on that income. At the same time, the rent's addition to your finances helps you qualify for a larger mortgage, and investors who occupy their rental properties can, under certain conditions, get interest rates lower than those who do not. (A professional like those at ERA Mortgage can tell you more.) Of course you'll want to decide if the demands of being a live-in landlord are for you (and find out if rent-control laws in your area might limit the return on your investment).

If being an offsite landlord is more appealing, you could always keep your current home as a rental after you move into the new one. Your long-tern familiarity with the home's features and condition could lend a certain confidence both to yourself and your potential tenants. As with any investment property, you'll first want to calculate whether the rental income will make up for the needed expenses. (This is another consideration in which a qualified real estate sales professionals can help, with his or her knowledge of the local rental market and its prospects over time.) And of course being a long-distance landlord has its headaches too, so you have to enjoy the challenge and be ready to meet the needs.

But if solving problems appeals to you, then you may even prefer a fixer-upper to your familiar former home. With a thorough inspection to answer any questions, and a realistic budget and disciplined schedule to handle all improvements, your outlays can prove to be well worth it. Renovations can range from reconfiguring the floorplan to simply replacing a now-unfashionable décor. The attraction of "move-in" quality can draw renters who share your appreciation of state-of-the-art living but not your passion for the do-it-yourself effort behind it.

Owning an income-generating property is not for everyone, but – from younger buyers offsetting their purchase costs, to seniors easing the expenses of their retirement years – it can be for all kinds of people. Talk to a real estate sales professional to find out if rental property would be double trouble or two times the success.

Author: Rivka Yablonsky is the owner of ERA Othello Realty and a licensed real estate broker/agent.





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Friday, September 15, 2006

Housing Boom Is a Memory: Lennar Is Latest Builder to Fret

By Janet Morrissey

From The Wall Street Journal Online

It was a tough week for the biggest U.S. home builders, as one company after another slashed earnings guidance to deal with a faster-than-expected downturn in the housing market.

Lennar Corp., based in Miami, was the latest bearer of bad news when it warned Friday that earnings in its fiscal third quarter, which ended Aug. 31, would be much lower than analysts on Wall Street were anticipating.

"The U.S. housing market has continued to deteriorate," said Stuart Miller, Lennar's chief executive. He blamed increased use of sales incentives and certain land adjustments for the shortfall, and cut fiscal-third-quarter guidance to a range of $1.25 to $1.35, down from Thomson Financial's consensus estimate of $1.81.

However, Lennar fared better than many of its rivals when it came to orders. It reported only a 5% decline in orders, which is significantly better than its peers. Los Angeles-based KB Home, for example, said on Thursday that orders for new homes fell 43% in its fiscal third quarter, ended Aug. 31, and the company cut earnings guidance to a range of $1.85 to $1.95 a share, down from Thomson's estimate of $2.31.

Beazer Homes USA Inc. said on Thursday that orders fell 49% and cancellations surged to 50% in the first two months of its fiscal fourth quarter.

As a result, the Atlanta builder reduced its 2006 earnings guidance to a range of $8 to $8.50 a share, down from previous estimates in the range of $9.25 to $9.75 a share.

Meanwhile, St. Joe Co., based in Jacksonville, Fla., announced late Thursday it planned to leave its home-building business altogether. The company said it would continue to entitle and develop its massive land holdings in Florida, but would no longer build homes. Instead, it would sell lots to home builders. The decision came after the company had seen orders fall 50% in the first quarter and 55% in the second quarter.

So, does the small order decline at Lennar mean the company is faring better financially? Not necessarily.

Raymond James analyst Rick Murray sees the small order decline as a warning sign that Lennar has been far more aggressive at offering incentives and slashing prices than its rivals. He said this will likely take a toll on Lennar's gross profit margins, which he estimates fell 6.10 percentage points to 18.9% in the quarter from 25% a year earlier.

Morgan Stanley analyst Rob Stevenson said the difference in orders between Lennar and other builders reflect different strategies. He'd prefer to see builders be frugal about incentives -- even if it means giving up sales.

"If you're just throwing as much product out there regardless of the price, that's a dangerous slope for these guys," he said. That's because once prices fall on a widespread basis, home buyers will sit on the sidelines waiting for prices to trough. This will delay sales, and make it tougher for home builders to bring pricing back up to previous levels.

Mr. Stevenson hasn't seen any builder get overly aggressive yet, "but that is the fear at the back of your mind."

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Bankers and Regulators Clash Over Surge in Real-Estate Loans

By Bernard Wysocki Jr.

From The Wall Street Journal Online

Federal regulators are trying to hit the brakes on commercial real-estate lending. That annoys Bradley Rock, the chief executive officer of Smithtown Bancorp Inc.

Wheeling his black Lexus sedan toward the clubhouse of the Fox Hill Golf & Country Club, Mr. Rock gazed at the lush fairways of the 175-acre property, appraised at more than $15 million. The owners of the club owe $2.7 million to his bank. "You could sell the property for massively more than the debt," Mr. Rock said. "It's impossible for the bank to lose money."

Like thousands of community banks across the U.S., Smithtown, of Hauppauge, Long Island, has feasted on commercial real-estate loans. About 80% of Smithtown's $800 million loan portfolio is concentrated in that category, which Mr. Rock calls "the last safe, profitable niche" for community bankers trying to compete against giant banks. The banks consider these loans -- the $1 million to $10 million loan to a home builder or strip-mall owner -- to be their sweet spot.

To bank regulators, the rapid growth in commercial real-estate loans -- up 16% in 2005 alone to $1.3 trillion -- is alarming. In January, four regulatory agencies, including the Federal Reserve, proposed a clampdown. In a draft of new "guidance," they said banks exceeding certain levels of lending in construction and commercial real estate should step up risk monitoring or add capital, or both.

The proposed guidance wasn't a hard rule and didn't impose limits on lending, but the bankers went bonkers. The Independent Community Bankers of America, the American Bankers Association and more than 1,000 banks wrote protest letters. The community bankers, citing the government's own reports, said commercial real-estate loan performance is healthy and growth is driven by employment and population growth. Bankers argued that their lending practices had become far more sophisticated since the last real-estate bust in the early 1990s, while the regulatory guidance had all the finesse of a meat cleaver.

A hearing on the issue before a House subcommittee is set for Thursday. Regulators probably will issue final guidelines sometime after that, and the implications could be significant. If regulators are too lax, there could be a raft of bad loans. If they are too tough, they could prompt a credit crunch, with small business owners unable to get loans. That could cast a chill on the entire U.S. economy.

Commercial real-estate loans "can be the sweet spot -- or the tar pit" for banks, says Susan Bies, a governor of the Federal Reserve. It supervises bank holding companies and about 900 state banks, including the Bank of Smithtown, a wholly owned subsidiary of Smithtown Bancorp.

The regulators conjure up memories of the late 1980s and early 1990s, when aggressive lending led to overbuilding, vacant properties, price collapses and huge losses for taxpayers. From 1987 through 1994, more than 1,100 banks and nearly 1,000 savings-and-loan institutions failed or required financial assistance, according to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.

"It is hard to overstate the impact of that crisis on our economy," John Dugan, the comptroller of the currency, said in a speech to New York bankers in April. Mr. Dugan's agency, part of the U.S. Treasury, supervises more than 2,500 nationally chartered banks.

Cracking Down

Though the guidance isn't finalized yet -- and, even when completed, won't include hard-and-fast lending caps -- examiners already are cracking down, say bankers. TransAtlantic Bank, of Miami, has cut back commercial real-estate loans in reaction to the regulators' proposals, while expanding unsecured loans to doctors, lawyers and other business customers. Chief Executive Miriam Lopez says the unsecured loans are actually riskier; the bank has more than doubled its credit department to handle the change in strategy.

"Talk about unintended consequences," says Mr. Rock, who as vice chairman of the American Bankers Association is helping lead the charge against regulators.

The 54-year-old banker grew up in Hauppauge, 50 miles east of Manhattan, where he was a high-school football star. He worked as a lawyer before becoming chief executive at Smithtown in 1990.

He has produced strong results: soaring loan and deposit growth, rising profits and minimal bad loans. The bank says investors who bought its Nasdaq-listed stock in 1995 have enjoyed a more than 20-fold return on their investment.

The Smithtown formula involves gathering deposits, currently about $835 million, at 13 branches on Long Island. The bank then lends out the money at interest rates that are more than four percentage points higher, on average, than what it pays on deposits. Demand is robust in Long Island's mostly white-collar economy, which has enjoyed strong job growth in health care and education, according to Moody's Economy.com Inc., although it says high costs could crimp that growth.

The bank mostly steers clear of consumer lending, such as auto loans and credit cards. Residential real estate is just 14% of the loan portfolio. Mr. Rock says Smithtown can't compete with the big banks that blanket the greater New York market.

"Citibank, Chase, Bank of America, they spend enormous amounts of money on the mass market," Mr. Rock says. "You need to be on television every night" with advertising, he says. "There's no way we can afford to do that."

Instead, Smithtown has a small lending team of five people who specialize in making real-estate loans to businesses. One banker focuses on loans to homebuilders. Mr. Rock's 24-year-old son recently joined the bank and is cutting his teeth on mortgages for small commercial buildings. The bank also lends to owners of multitenant office buildings and family restaurants.

In recent years, Mr. Rock has moved into the five boroughs of New York City, lending to smaller developers who might, for example, need a $5 million loan to convert an industrial building in Brooklyn's trendy Williamsburg section into condominiums or rental apartments.

He has an army of loyal borrowers, such as Vincent Di Canio, a Smithtown developer who has received dozens of real-estate loans from the Smithtown bank over the past 25 years. Mr. Di Canio says he goes to the big banks only when he needs more than $10 million. He is worried the regulators' guidance will cause Bank of Smithtown to cut back lending. "It would be detrimental to me and all midsized entrepreneurs," he says.

Mr. Rock acknowledges that real-estate busts occur and can be devastating. In his first years as CEO, in the early 1990s, his own bank had several loans go sour. Often, the bank hadn't paid attention to the income stream on the borrower's property, he says.

He slows his car to an intersection in Melville, just off the Long Island Expressway, and gestures at rows of 250,000-square-foot office buildings that were built in the 1980s, sometimes with financing from big banks. By the early 1990s, a number of the Melville buildings lay vacant and were sold at a loss.

"Here's your 1980s real-estate bust," Mr. Rock proclaims. "The biggest amounts came from the biggest banks putting mortgages on the biggest buildings."

Mr. Rock believes most smaller banks such as his aren't engaging in the sort of indiscriminate lending that caused trouble 15 years ago. Nowadays, he says, he ensures that a developer's income from property is enough to pay down the mortgage, and he leaves an ample margin of safety in his loan portfolio in case real-estate prices turn south.

Mr. Dugan, who took over as comptroller in August 2005, is less sanguine. A former Washington lawyer with many financial institutions as clients, Mr. Dugan was heavily involved in the savings-and-loan cleanup as a U.S. Treasury official from 1989 to 1993. He declined to be interviewed, but his speeches leave no question about his concerns.

At a conference last October of credit experts from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency in Atlanta, Mr. Dugan noted that about a third of national banks had commercial real-estate loans amounting to 300% or more of their bank capital. In its simplest definition, capital is equal to a bank's assets minus liabilities. Under U.S. regulations, banks are required to hold a certain amount of capital, measured in various ways, as a financial cushion. Mr. Dugan urged his credit staffers to continue "carefully monitoring banks where these concentrations could become, or already are, significant."

Warning Letters

Within weeks, the office's regulators in the field were sending out letters to banks, warning about concentrations.

Community bankers say the letters made them shudder. "I was very upset," says Everett Crawford, chief executive of First National Bank of Artesia, N.M. If he has to cut back such lending, "it will diminish the franchise," says Mr. Crawford, who worries the 103-year-old institution may have no choice but to sell itself.

By all accounts, banks have a much better handle on their loan portfolios these days than two decades ago. Nonetheless, regulators fear standards still aren't strict enough sometimes.

The letter Mr. Crawford received was from Kay Kowitt, a deputy comptroller of the currency. She didn't single out his bank but dwelt on several emerging problems among the 400 banks supervised by the western district of the agency. Noting that "competition in virtually all markets is intense," the letter fretted about "liberal terms for speculative land loans" and said some borrowers had only a thin margin between the cash flow from their property and their loan repayments. It also questioned whether some banks are getting fully independent property appraisals.

Regulators also believe new forces in the market are pushing up real-estate prices. One new factor: Unlike small banks, the biggest banks often are selling their commercial loans to be packaged into securities and sold to global investors. That market is making it easier for banks to come up with money for loans, which in turn boosts demand for commercial property.

In April, Mr. Dugan sounded the alarm bells again, this time before the New York Bankers Association. In the late 1980s and 1990s, he said, failed banks had three times the real-estate concentrations of banks that survived. With Mr. Rock looking on, Mr. Dugan also defended the guidance proposed by his agency and three others. It would single out for scrutiny banks that have lent more than 100% of their capital in construction or more than 300% of their capital in commercial real estate generally.

Smithtown's portfolio is way over the guidelines because its commercial real-estate loans amount to 750% of, or 7.5 times, its capital. Mr. Rock believes it is simplistic to lump all commercial real estate into "a single bucket." His portfolio, he argues, should instead be viewed as "75 buckets" of diverse loans with different maturities and risks. Mr. Rock says he welcomes examinations, but he thinks examiners should dig down and assess the risks of individual loans and various types of loans.

In a June 20 meeting that Mr. Rock and officials from the American Bankers Association held with regulators, Mr. Rock complained that field examiners are using the measures in the guidelines to "beat up" banks with heavy concentrations of commercial real-estate loans. "Susan, here's the essence of the disconnect," he says he told Gov. Bies of the Fed. "You call it guidance, but examiners are in my bank, criticizing me for having too many commercial real-estate loans."

Gov. Bies, in an interview, says she hasn't received concrete evidence of overzealous activity by bank examiners, but she says the Fed will start a training program for its staff once the guidance becomes final. Regulators say their metrics are a valuable screening device to flag potential problems. Bankers say the definition of a commercial real-estate loan is too broad.

On a recent afternoon, Mr. Rock drove around Suffolk County, his prime lending area, and stopped outside a medical office building. He has extended a $350,000 line of credit to the doctors backed by the property, which he said is valued at two to three times that amount. He drove past one of Mr. Di Canio's housing developments, with 34 single-family units under construction, and said his lenders minimize risk by doling out money little by little as the work progresses.

Then Mr. Rock drove a few miles out to the Fox Hill golf club. If the property ever got developed into houses on half-acre lots, he said, it could be worth $40 million or more. "This is just my idea of an absolutely great loan," Mr. Rock said. "But the regulators are saying I have a 'concentration.' So if another one comes along like this, I'm supposed to turn it down."

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Invasion of the Roof Snatchers; The Flat-Top Look Catches On

By Sara Schaefer Munoz
From The Wall Street Journal Online

When it comes to flat roofs, beauty is clearly in the eye of the homeowner.

Eager to squeeze in more square-footage -- and increase property values -- while adhering to community height restrictions, a growing number of builders and homeowners are building homes with flat roofs. But these box-like structures and their party-friendly roof decks are sparking a backlash among neighbors who think the houses are homely, detracting from neighborhood character and blocking views and sunlight. Now, a number of communities are slapping new rules on builders that require sloping roofs.

Communities everywhere from Delaware to Washington are addressing roof pitch. The waterfront town of Bethany Beach, Del., several months ago passed a minimum-roof-pitch requirement after a spate of new, box-like homes dwarfed the town's older cottages. St. Augustine, Fla., last fall banned flat roofs for homes on some smaller lots over concerns about style and rooftop parties, and the city of Kirkland, Wash., near Seattle, is holding a series of community meetings with homeowners and developers on house-to-lot ratios, which address, in part, concerns about the increase in flat-roofed homes.

Many popular home styles, of course, such as Prairie and Pueblo, have flat or low-pitched roofs. And in some parts of the country, such as Santa Fe, N.M., some ordinances even aim to keep roofs flat. Still, in many suburban American communities, the majority of homes have sloping roofs. But now, some Realtors, builders and local officials say, flat tops are increasingly infiltrating neighborhoods that traditionally featured sloping-roofed cottages and bungalows.

The trend is being driven in part by people seeking the best return on their investment amid soaring property values in recent years. It also demonstrates how zoning restrictions communities passed in recent years have backfired. In response to runaway development, many municipalities tried to prevent oversized homes on small lots. But in some cases, the unintended result was flat-roofed, boxy homes seen as out of character with surrounding styles. By using a flat roof, builders can sometimes squeeze in a second or third floor, adding square footage while staying under neighborhood height restrictions.

Kirkland, a city of about 50,000 people near the headquarters of Microsoft Corp., several years ago limited square footage on smaller lots, but officials say that move -- coupled with height restrictions -- may have encouraged flat roofs and boxy homes as people sought more space on the upper floor. "We may have gotten that wrong," says Kirkland Mayor Jim Lauinger. "When you have people taking away a peaked roof and putting on a flat roof to get additional volume, you've really altered what the neighborhood used to look like."

Steve Rabuchin, a Kirkland resident, learned that first-hand when a 5,000-square-foot, flat-top home went up recently on the lot below his 2,700-square-foot hill-side property. Because workers on the house chopped down trees, the Rabuchins now have a view of Lake Washington -- but with a broad expanse of flat, black roof in the foreground. "They maxed out everything they possibly could and ended up with a box," he says.

Yet builders say the flat-roof style allows them to get the best return in areas where land is pricey. John Lux, a Kirkland-area developer, built five homes with flat roofs this year, compared with one in the previous two years, squeezing in two stories and a partially exposed basement by using the flat-roof style. "The city is wanting to see smaller homes on these lots, but it just doesn't make sense financially," he says.

Flat roofs can also have drawbacks for owners. They generally don't stand up well to heavy rain and snow, and can require more frequent maintenance than roofs with a traditional pitch, contractors say. Flat roofs can also be more expensive to build, requiring more structural support. Yet Realtors say that flat-roofed homes can have a "wow" factor from inside, offering higher ceilings and the possibility of roof decks.

But some Realtors say that out-of-place flat-roofed homes could be tougher to sell. "Most people don't want a place that sticks out like a sore thumb," says Chuck Riley, a Realtor in the Washington, D.C., area.

Most homes going up with flatter roofs are in older neighborhoods, where the lots are so expensive that developers build as big as they can to make the investment worthwhile. Some big home builders are espousing the design: Pulte Homes Inc., based in Bloomfield Hills, Mich., recently put flat roofs on a town-home development in Baltimore as a way to offer roof decks and add more living space. The Maryland division president says the company is planning more homes in the same style.

Flattening the roof isn't the only way builders are staying under height restrictions in certain neighborhoods. Builders will also grade the land higher at the base of the house, so the first story is partially underground and they can build higher, says Vince Butler, chairman of the Remodelers Council of the National Association of Home Builders. "When folks are trying to get the most space in their house they end up going up or down."

Builders also report that people on small lots increasingly are putting in big basements and protruding dormers -- portions of a home that often don't count against square footage restrictions. In some areas where regulations are strict and land is in short supply, it's not uncommon for builders to lift an entire house up on hydraulic jacks and put in a partially exposed first story underneath. This adds another story without going over height limits; it also makes for easier approval by architectural review boards because the addition is partially underground, says Paul Winans, a California remodeler and chairman of the National Association of the Remodeling Industry.

Flat roofs can spur some strong emotions. In St. Augustine, Fla., residents in a series of meetings debated the merit of boxy homes before local officials passed an ordinance requiring that roofs on smaller lots have a minimum pitch. "When you plunk down one of these square boxes, it stands out -- it's an affront to the historic nature of the town," says John Marples, a resident who spoke at one of the hearings.

But residents Thomas and Elizabeth Dreisbach are chafing under the new restrictions. They own a 1,300-square-foot home on one of the city's smaller lots. They would like to enlarge their house by adding a flat or slightly pitched roof to get a deck, more space and increase the home's value. Now, they will have to request a variance. Otherwise, they'll try to put a large roof deck on top of a sloping one, which Mr. Dreisbach says won't look as nice. "These restrictions are just causing architecture to be uglier and are taking money out of people's pockets," he says.

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Foreclosure Figures Suggest Homeowners in for Rocky Ride

By Danielle Reed

From The Wall Street Journal Online

By any measure, things are getting tougher for American homeowners.

Online foreclosure-data service RealtyTrac of Irvine, Calif., said yesterday 115,292 properties nationwide entered some stage of foreclosure last month, a rise of 24% from July and nearly a 53% increase from a year earlier.

Also yesterday, Foreclosure.com of Boca Raton, Fla., which also tracks foreclosures nationwide, said new residential foreclosures fell by 6.7% in August from July to 26,255 nationwide. The company's figures, however, show that foreclosures are up 7.3% compared to August 2005.

The divergent results can be explained by the way each company counts foreclosed properties. RealtyTrac data includes properties in the early stages of a foreclosure proceeding, even before the bank actually owns those properties. About 60% of these get remedied or the properties are sold before they get to the auction stage, said Rick Sharga, vice president of marketing for RealtyTrac.

A spokesman for Foreclosure.com said it only reports properties officially foreclosed and in the hands of the banks.

The trend is supported by data collected by the Mortgage Bankers Association, which reports the number of U.S. households late on mortgage payments fell slightly in the second quarter, but that a modest rise in delinquency and foreclosures is expected going forward.

The delinquency rate for residential mortgages was 4.39% in the April-June period, down from 4.41% in the previous three months, the MBA said in a survey that included 42.5 million loans. Home mortgages in foreclosure made up 0.99% of total mortgages at the end of the quarter, up from 0.98% three months earlier.

The MBA expects further cooling in the economy and the housing market, which in turn could lead to "modest increases in delinquency and foreclosure rates in the quarters ahead," said Douglas Duncan, MBA's chief economist and senior vice president of research and business development.

RealtyTrac Chief Executive James J. Saccacio noted that billions of dollars of adjustable-rate mortgages that have benefited from a stable fixed rate of interest over the past two years are due to shift to higher floating rates in coming months.

"With home-price appreciation continuing to decelerate," he said, August's "increase could be the beginning of an upward shift in the foreclosures market."

Foreclosure.com President and CEO Brad Geisen said while the company has continued to see fluctuations in month-to-month data, "as we near the end of the third quarter, most housing and economic indicators point to a sustained period of increased new foreclosure activity across the country."

Foreclosure.com noted that the West was becoming "an emerging foreclosure hot spot," with new foreclosures in Arizona up 155% in August from July. Foreclosures in California were up 32% and New Mexico saw a 10% increase.

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Locals urge U.F. to keep Sharon Station Road

BY JANE MEGGITT

http://examiner.gmnews.com/

UPPER FREEHOLD - For at least a quarter of a century, the township has been asking the county to take jurisdiction over Sharon Station Road.

However, at the Sept. 7 Township Committee meeting, the governing body voted 4-1 to ask the township engineer to suspend all work related to the transfer of jurisdiction until the township attorney completes a review of local truck bans and related matters. Deputy Mayor William Miscoski abstained from the vote.

Patrick Nolan, a resident of the Woods at Cream Ridge housing development, read a presentation submitted by members of his and other subdivisions who call themselves Concerned Residents of Upper Freehold.

After citing several dangerous truck traffic incidents occurring on Sharon Station Road and near the Galloping Brook development off Route 526, Nolan said it is the safety of their children that most concerns residents.

Nolan said that residents have met with the county about this situation, and were encouraged by the answers given about possible remedies to the problem.

"We are disappointed," he said, "that our [Township] Committee advised us to perform this task ourselves rather than doing it on our behalf."

Nolan said that the Township Committee had cited the need to connect county roads with other county roads as a reason for transferring the jurisdiction of Sharon Station Road to the county. He said Township Engineer Glenn Gerken has stated that the township would benefit from the alleviation of maintenance costs associated with the road.

However, Nolan said that the county does not budget for additional miles of road and would only accept Sharon Station Road if the township agreed to take some other roads back into its own budget.

Nolan asked the committee if it has the power to control speed limits, set weight restrictions and divert truck traffic. He also asked if it would be willing to keep the road under township control and assist in enacting and enforcing laws that would prohibit trucks on the road. He cited the public safety concerns of the three developments already along the road in addition to a subdivision that has final approval and one that has preliminary approval from the Planning Board.

Nolan said the township has a weight-limit ordinance on Sharon Station Road between Route 526 and Herbert Road. He suggested the committee amend the ordinance to change the start of the weight limitation to Route 539. Nolan said a similar restriction on Breza Road, which is not fit for truck traffic, would seal up the traffic from flowing to the west side of town, creating no greater need for the controversial westerly bypass than there is at the present time.

Nolan also asked the committee to consider an alternative truck route for trucks heading north on Route 539 and turning right onto Route 537 to Exit 116 of Interstate 195.

"We are not asking trucks to go significantly out of their way, nor are we offering them no alternate solution," he said.

Nolan said the planned closing of the Allentown bridge for repairs, which is estimated to take two years, will give the township, the borough and the county a window of time to work cooperatively on limiting truck traffic on the segments of existing county roads.

"We do not wish to, in any way, harm trucking companies that provide a great service to our economy," he said. "We merely ask them to accept a reasonable alternate route - traveling on wide roads that are better equipped with facilities to service them."

Township Attorney Tennant Magee said the committee could, by statute, direct the township engineer to prepare a report on the suggestions. He said power lies with the state Department of Transportation (DOT) in terms of whether roads could be limited to certain classes of vehicles. He also said truck traffic can never be prohibited from its origin or destination, or from being able to access food, rest and repairs.

Committeeman Stephen Alexander, who has been working with the Woods residents on this issue, said, "The bottom line is, the DOT has final say. There's very little remedy if the DOT says no."

Mayor Stephen Fleischacker praised Nolan's report, saying the committee could authorize the use of municipal funds for a study with the goal of seeking DOT approval.

Deputy Mayor William Miscoski said the township gave letters of exemption to several local truckers who were over the 10-ton limit because of an origin and destination clause. However, he said the New Jersey State Police ticketed those truckers anyway.

"What are you going to do with the local guys?" he asked. "Do them in again?"

Fleischacker said the situation needs to be documented as part of the study.

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Builders offer incentives to entice new home buyers

Asbury Park Press on 09/15/06

BY MICHAEL L. DIAMOND
BUSINESS WRITER

Melissa and Frank Picciolo had already made a deposit this summer on a new Manalapan home built by Hovnanian Enterprises Inc., when they decided to press their luck.

They wanted a finished basement. They wanted upgraded kitchen cabinets. And they didn't hesitate to ask.

"Within two weeks after we put a deposit down, we went back and forth; could we include this and that? They would go back to their administration, come back and say, "Yes we can do that,' " said Melissa Picciolo, 30.

Shore-area home builders are struggling with a downturn in the residential real estate market for the first time in nearly a decade. Builders are holding the line on price increases, but they're offering incentives and slowing their production.

It has created opportunities for buyers such as the Picciolos, but it has also created financial difficulties for builders.

"With the economy the way it is, we're ready to negotiate, which is something home builders haven't had to do a lot of" in recent years, said Douglas Fenichel, spokesman for Red Bank-based Hovnanian. The company, New Jersey's largest home builder, has seen its stock price fall nearly 50 percent during the first eight months of the year.

Home builders are slowing down nationwide. New home sales in July were down 21.6 percent from the same month a year ago, according to the U.S. Commerce Department.

New Jersey's decline hasn't been as pronounced, but the state isn't immune from the nation's real estate troubles.

"We've come off a little bit from last year, but the market here is not slowing anywhere near as rapidly as in other areas of the country," said Patrick J. O'Keefe, chief executive officer of the New Jersey Builders Association. "We weren't at the white-hot levels that were prevalent elsewhere."

What's the problem? O'Keefe and other experts said it's a combination of rising interest rates and workers' wages that aren't keeping up with home prices.

Mortgage rates, which were at historic lows, essentially allowing home buyers to afford more expensive homes, have been rising for several months. The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage in New Jersey was 6.5 percent for the second quarter, compared with 5.79 percent for the same quarter a year ago, according to the National Association of Realtors.

Moreover, homes are getting less affordable. New Jersey consumers who want to buy a median priced home, which was $373,900 during the second quarter, need to make $90,768 a year. The median family income, however, was $81,309, according to the association.

Economists have said much of New Jersey's job growth this decade has come from lower-paying jobs instead of the technology, telecommunications and pharmaceutical sectors that once were synonymous with the state.

"There is a very cautious eye being cast on the horizon, not solely because of cyclical reasons, but because New Jersey's competitive position is weak and getting weaker relative to the rest of the country," O'Keefe said. "An economy that is losing its economic momentum is one where the housing sector is in danger of losing customers."

Home builders have been hurt this year. Hovnanian in August lowered its third-quarter earnings expectations to $1.10 to $1.20 a share from its previous guidance of $1.40 to $1.50 a share, in part because of a slower sales pace and more pronounced use of concessions and incentives.

Meanwhile, Toll Brothers Inc., a Horsham, Pa.-based company that regularly builds in New Jersey, said its net income of $174.6 million, or $1.07 a share, for the third quarter, was down from net income of $215.5 million, or $1.27 a share, the same quarter a year ago. Its stock is down about 30 percent this year.

"The continuing malaise in the housing market, we believe, is the result of an oversupply of inventory and a decline in (consumers') confidence," said Robert I. Toll, the company's chairman and chief executive officer.

O'Keefe said home builders don't want to be stuck with inventory, which is an expensive scenario since they would have to pay for property taxes and maintenance. So they have offered more incentives, such as premium lots at no extra charge, finished basements and slick kitchen appliances.

It's a scenario that puts buyers in a stronger position. The Picciolos have a 2-year-old daughter, Victoria, and they are outgrowing their Old Bridge home. So they signed a contract to buy a home at Hovnanian's Meadow Creek development in Manalapan that will give them nearly twice as much room, Melissa Picciolo said.

She said they considered the declining state of the real estate industry before they bought the house, but jumped in anyway; they think they can sell their current house relatively easily and mortgage rates are still considered low.

"It worked out really nicely," Picciolo said. "I was excited about the basement for my husband and daughter and the kitchen for me. There was something for all three of us."

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